So we probably still won't know who the Democratic nominee for the presidential election will be after tonight. In Clinton's best case scenario, she'll win Texas and Ohio, regaining some momentum to bring things back to a virtual tie with Obama. Obama's best case scenario is the knock-out punch. This seems unlikely on all fronts: even if he wins Texas (still a toss-up), Clinton has all-but vowed to fight on.
I've been supporting Obama's candidacy for well over a year, and I still want him to win. But, between Obama, Clinton, and McCain, here's how I see it: Obama is the best candidate and has a good shot at nabbing more independent voters than McCain in the general; Clinton runs an inept, ugly campaign, but she would make a good president if she could beat McCain (which is extremely questionable); McCain was great in 2000, but has devolved into a pandering tool over the last eight years -- still, as long as he avoids pandering to ultra-conservatives after inauguration, I think he'd also make a good president.
Most general elections come with the standard lesser-of-two-evils cliché. But this one might be a little different. An Obama/McCain race would be one for the ages, featuring two highly popular figures who've proven crossover appeal. There'd be fewer stark differences in a McCain/Clinton battle, with both candidates one-upping each other over who's the most centrist.
I'd pick the first pairing, but the second option would be far from heartbreaking. We'll see.
Tuesday, March 4, 2008
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